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Predicting hurricanes years ahead

This map shows the tracks of all Tropical cyclones that formed between 1985 and 2005 A major breakthrough in forecasting the number of Atlantic tropical storms has been achieved, say Met Office...

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Met Office in the Media: 08 November 2010

The Times reports on a new piece of research published in Nature Geoscience which shows skill in being able to predict the frequency of tropical storms in the North Atlantic more than one season ahead....

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Met Office in the News: 26 November 2010

The cold and snow across the UK is being covered extensively with coverage including, Britain ‘faces 10-day wintry blast’ (mirror.co.uk), North-east UK struggles as snow blows in (independent.co.uk),...

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Met Office issues Atlantic tropical storm forecast for the 2011 season

Our forecast for this year’s North Atlantic tropical storm season states it is likely to be quieter than 2010, with 13 tropical storms between June and November 2011, with a 70% chance that the number...

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Hurricane Irene expected to make landfall in the US this weekend

Latest forecasts show Hurricane Irene is expected to make landfall on the eastern coast of the United States on Saturday. It is due to pass over North Carolina before continuing up the coast, passing...

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How often do the remains of hurricanes affect the UK

Hurricane Katia, currently in the western Atlantic is set to steam due east towards the UK and is expected to reach our shores as a post tropical storm later in the weekend. With it will come the risk...

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Does the jet stream affect hurricanes?

Many news and weather articles, including our own blog, have reported recently that the UK’s wet summer is caused by the jet stream being situated further south than usual for this time of year....

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Tropical Strom Isaac likely to make landfall as Cat 2 Hurricane

Tropical Strom Isaac was located about 120km WSW of Key West at 4am (UK time) on Monday 27 August, and continues to move west north west. Mean wind speeds of 65 mph have been observed by the United...

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Tropical Storm Isaac heads toward New Orleans

At 1500 UK time on Tuesday 28 August, Tropical Storm Isaac was located about 150 km southeast of the Louisiana coast and heading northwest at about 15 km per hour.  Mean wind speeds of 70 mph at the...

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Cyclone Evan strikes Samoa

Towards the end of every year tropical storm activity moves from the northern hemisphere to the southern hemisphere. The South Indian Ocean has already spawned three tropical storms including the...

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Met Office predicts above average Atlantic hurricane season

The Met Office Atlantic tropical storm forecast for 2013 is for 14 tropical storms between June and November, with a 70% chance that the number will be in the range 10 to 18. The long-term average over...

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Humberto is the first hurricane in a quiet season so far

The Atlantic hurricane season is usually reaching its peak during the first half of September, but so far the season has been very quiet. Humberto has just become the first hurricane of the Atlantic...

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Cyclones set to strike India and the Philippines

While the tropical storm and cyclone season for the northern hemisphere has been relatively quiet this year, the last few weeks has seen a spike in activity with three tropical cyclones currently...

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The severe storm this weekend and why it’s not a hurricane

There is much coverage of the storm heading our way later this weekend with mentions of it being a ‘hurricane’. This is not strictly correct as we don’t get hurricanes in the UK and this is why....

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Typhoon Haiyan heading for the Philippines

Typhoon Haiyan is set to make landfall over the central Philippines on Friday bringing extremely strong winds and heavy rain to the region. Typhoon Haiyan approaching the Philippines 6 November 2013....

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Met Office predicts below average Atlantic hurricane season

The Met Office Atlantic tropical storm forecast for 2014 is for 10 tropical storms between June and November, with a 70% chance that the number will be in the range 7 to 13. The long-term average over...

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Arthur becomes first Atlantic hurricane of the season

Hurricane Arthur has become the first hurricane of this year’s Atlantic season, which started at the beginning of June. Arthur is currently located close to the coast of south-eastern USA and is...

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Is Tropical Storm Bertha heading for the UK?

A Tropical Storm called Bertha, which is currently in situated off the east coast of the US, could head towards Europe over the next week – so what’s the outlook? Forecast tracks for Bertha, which was...

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Ex Bertha more likely to miss UK

Tropical Storm Bertha is currently off the north east coast of the US and is likely to become an ‘extra tropical storm’ on Thursday. It’s then expected to track across the Atlantic – and while there...

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Cyclone Quartet Straddle the Pacific Ocean

In the last few days a quartet of tropical cyclones have been active across the Pacific Ocean. For a period of time all four were simultaneously of hurricane intensity (winds greater than 74 mph). This...

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